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Book/Printed Material Bounds in competing risks models and the war on cancer

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Title

  • Bounds in competing risks models and the war on cancer

Summary

  • "In 1971 President Nixon declared war on cancer and increased the federal funds allocated to cancer research dramatically. Thirty years later, many have declared this war a failure. Overall cancer statistics confirm this view: age-adjusted mortality in 2000 was essentially unchanged from the early 1970s. At the same time, age-adjusted mortality rates from cardiovascular disease have fallen quite dramatically. Since the causes underlying cancer and cardiovascular disease are likely to be correlated, the decline in mortality rates from cardiovascular disease may be somewhat responsible for the rise in cancer mortality. It is natural to model mortality with more than one cause of death as a competing risks model. Such models are fundamentally unidentified, and it is therefore difficult to get a clear picture of the progress in cancer. This paper derives bounds for aspects of the underlying distributions under a number of different assumptions. Most importantly, we do not assume that the underlying risks are independent, and impose weak parametric assumptions in order to obtain identification. The theoretical contribution of the paper is to provide a framework to estimate competing risk models with interval data and discrete explanatory variables, both of which are common in empirical applications. We use our method to estimate changes in cancer and cardiovascular mortality since 1970. The estimated bounds for the effect of time on the duration until death for either cause are fairly tight and we find that trends in cancer show much larger improvements than previously estimated. For example, we find that time until death from cancer increased by about 10% for white males and 20% for white women"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Names

  • Honoré, Bo E. (Bo Ernø), 1960-
  • Lleras Muney, Adriana, 1974-
  • National Bureau of Economic Research

Created / Published

  • Cambridge, MA : National Bureau of Economic Research, c2004

Headings

  • -  Cancer--Mortality--Mathematical models
  • -  Cardiovascular system--Diseases--Mortality--Mathematical models

Notes

  • -  Title from PDF file as viewed on 1/11/2005.
  • -  Includes bibliographical references.
  • -  Also available in print.
  • -  Mode of access: World Wide Web.
  • -  System requirements: Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Call Number/Physical Location

  • HB1

Digital Id

Library of Congress Control Number

  • 2005615462

Access Advisory

  • Unrestricted online access

Online Format

  • image
  • pdf

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Citations are generated automatically from bibliographic data as a convenience, and may not be complete or accurate.

Chicago citation style:

Honoré, Bo E, Adriana Lleras Muney, and National Bureau Of Economic Research. Bounds in Competing Risks Models and the War on Cancer. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2004. Pdf. https://aj.sunback.homes/item/2005615462/.

APA citation style:

Honoré, B. E., Lleras Muney, A. & National Bureau Of Economic Research. (2004) Bounds in Competing Risks Models and the War on Cancer. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research. [Pdf] Retrieved from the Library of Congress, https://aj.sunback.homes/item/2005615462/.

MLA citation style:

Honoré, Bo E, Adriana Lleras Muney, and National Bureau Of Economic Research. Bounds in Competing Risks Models and the War on Cancer. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, 2004. Pdf. Retrieved from the Library of Congress, <aj.sunback.homes/item/2005615462/>.