Book/Printed Material Deterrence and escalation in competition with Russia : executive summary / Stephen Watts, Bryan Rooney, Gene Germanovich, Bruce McClintock, Stephanie Pezard, Clint Reach, Melissa Shostak

Title

• Deterrence and escalation in competition with Russia : executive summary / Stephen Watts, Bryan Rooney, Gene Germanovich, Bruce McClintock, Stephanie Pezard, Clint Reach, Melissa Shostak

Summary

• The deterrence of armed conflict has been studied intensively for decades, as have escalation dynamics along the path to such conflicts. The deterrence of forms of aggression below the level of armed conflict-such hostile measures as economic coercion, political subversion, and military intimidation-has received much less attention. In this report, the authors investigate how the United States might use its military posture in Europe (specifically, ground forces) as part of a strategy to deter these Russian malign activities. The authors identify how forward posture could deter hostile measures through signaling the United States' commitment to its allies and partners, providing irregular capabilities for those partners and allies threatened with political subversion, providing conventional capabilities to neutralize hostile powers' coercion attempts, and providing support for other instruments of U.S. power, such as sanctions. However, forward posture can also lead to an escalation in competitor activities, increasing their sense of threat, incentivizing partners to undertake aggression at levels below armed conflict, and incentivizing third parties to act in ways that increase the likelihood of confrontation. The authors propose ways to calibrate U.S. forward posture to minimize such risks while enhancing deterrence.

Names

• Watts, Stephen (Stephen Baldwin), author
• Germanovich, Gene, author
• McClintock, Bruce H., author
• Pézard, Stéphanie, author
• Reach, Clint, author
• Rooney, Bryan, author
• Shostak, Melissa, author
• United States. Army
• Arroyo Center. Strategy, Doctrine, and Resources Program
• Rand Corporation

Created / Published

• Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation, [2022]

Headings

• -  Deterrence (Strategy)
• -  Escalation (Military science)
• -  National security--United States
• -  Europe--Strategic aspects
• -  Russia (Federation)--Military relations--United States
• -  United States--Armed Forces--Europe
• -  United States--Military policy
• -  United States--Military relations--Russia (Federation)

Notes

• -  Title from PDF document (title page; viewed January 13, 2022)
• -  Includes bibliographical references (page 25).
• -  See also RAND/RR-A720-1
• -  Description based on electronic resource
• -  Description based on print version record; resource not viewed.

Medium

• 1 electronic resource (27 pages )

Call Number/Physical Location

• U162.6

Digital Id

• https://hdl.loc.gov/loc.gdc/gdcebookspublic.2024738806

Library of Congress Control Number

• 2024738806

Rights Advisory

• This is non-restricted, fully open content that may be accessed on and off of the Library of Congress campus, with no restrictions, by an unlimited number of users

Access Advisory

• Unrestricted online access

Online Format

• image
• pdf

LCCN Permalink

• https://lccn.loc.gov/2024738806

Additional Metadata Formats

• MARCXML Record
• MODS Record
• Dublin Core Record