Book/Printed Material The future of driving in developing countries

Title

• The future of driving in developing countries

Summary

• "The level of automobility, defined as travel in personal vehicles, is often seen as a function of income: The higher a country's per capita income, the greater the amount of driving. However, levels of automobility vary quite substantially between countries even at similar levels of economic development. This suggests that countries follow different mobility paths. The research detailed in this report sought to answer three questions: What are the factors besides economic development that affect automobility? What is their influence on automobility? What will happen to automobility in developing countries if they progress along similar paths as developed countries? To answer these questions, the authors developed a methodology to identify these factors, model their impact on developed countries, and forecast automobility (as defined by per capita vehicle-kilometers traveled [VKT]) in four developing countries. This methodology draws on quantitative analysis of historical automobility development in four country case studies (the United States, Australia, Germany, and Japan) that represent very different levels of per capita automobility, in combination with data derived from an expert-based qualitative approach. The authors used the latter to assess how these experiences may affect the future of automobility in the BRIC countries: Brazil, Russia, India, and China. According to this analysis, automobility levels in the four BRIC countries will fall between those of the United States (which has the highest per capita VKT level of the four case studies) and Japan (which has the lowest). Brazil is forecasted to have the highest per capita VKT and India the lowest." -- "Abstract" on web page.

Names

• Ecola, Liisa, author
• Rohr, Charlene, 1964- author
• Zmud, Johanna, author
• Kuhnimhof, Tobias, 1973- author
• Phleps, Peter, author
• Rand Corporation, issuing body
• Rand Transportation, Space, and Technology (Program), researcher
• Institut für Mobilitätsforschung, sponsoring body

Created / Published

• Santa Monica, CA : RAND Corporation, [2014]
• ©2014.

Contents

• Introduction -- Evolutionary Paths of Mobility -- Study Methodology -- Historical Mobility Development in Four OECD Countries -- Comparison of Factors Among the Four OECD Countries -- Future Mobility Paths of Brazil, Russia, India, and China -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: Data Sources -- Appendix B: Country Travel Demand Experts -- Appendix C: Factor Fact Sheets and Flag-Game Results -- Appendix D: Estimating the Parameters for a Gompertz Model of Vehicle-Kilometers Traveled Per Capita.

Headings

• -  Transportation, Automotive--Developing countries
• -  Automobiles--Social aspects--Developing countries
• -  Automobile drivers--Developing countries

Notes

• -  "RR-636-ifmo" -- Page 4 of cover.
• -  "The research described in this report was sponsored by the Institute for Mobility Research (ifmo) and conducted in the Transportation, Space, and Technolgy Program within RAND Justice, Infrastructure, and Environment" -- Title page verso.
• -  Also available on the Internet as a PDF file.
• -  Includes bibliographical references (pages 108-113).
• -  Description based on print version record; resource not viewed.

Medium

• 1 online resource (xiv, 115 pages) : illustrations.

Call Number/Physical Location

• HE5725

Digital Id

• https://hdl.loc.gov/loc.gdc/gdcebookspublic.2024739089

Library of Congress Control Number

• 2024739089

Rights Advisory

• This is non-restricted, fully open content that may be accessed on and off of the Library of Congress campus, with no restrictions, by an unlimited number of users

Access Advisory

• Unrestricted online access

Online Format

• image
• pdf

LCCN Permalink

• https://lccn.loc.gov/2024739089

Additional Metadata Formats

• MARCXML Record
• MODS Record
• Dublin Core Record