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Book/Printed Material Mischief, malevolence, or indifference? how competitors and adversaries could exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility How competitors and adversaries could exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility

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Title

  • Mischief, malevolence, or indifference? how competitors and adversaries could exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility

Other Title

  • How competitors and adversaries could exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility

Summary

  • Climate change is projected to affect the physical environment of the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility (AOR) significantly throughout the 21st century and could have consequences for security. How climate change might do this, and what these security consequences might be, are important issues for security planners. U.S. competitors and adversaries could have new opportunities to seek advantages relative to the United States. To understand how China, Russia, and Iran might exploit climate-related conflicts, the RAND Corporation hosted a two-day workshop that presented nine scenarios with different climate hazards and levels of conflict to a panel of 11 subject-matter experts. The experts were knowledgeable about the overall global strategy, interests, and capabilities of China, Russia, and Iran and were asked to assess how these countries would react to climate-related conflict. This report provides the results of that workshop. The purpose of this research is to support CENTCOM leadership and planners and their interagency partners to prepare for a future security environment that is affected by climate change. Understanding the frequency of future conflict in the AOR, as well as the evolution of threats under climate change, will enable the U.S. government to better prepare for this future. This report is the fourth in a series focused on climate change and the security environment.

Names

  • Shatz, Howard J., author
  • Sudkamp, Karen M., author
  • Martini, Jeffrey, author
  • Ahmadi, Mohammad, author
  • Grossman, Derek, author
  • Jukneviciute, Kotryna, author
  • Rand Corporation. National Security Research Division
  • Rand Corporation
  • United States. Central Command

Created / Published

  • Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND, National Defense Research Institute, [2023]

Contents

  • Chapter One: Introduction -- Chapter Two: Workshop Methods -- Chapter Three: Findings -- Chapter Four: Conclusion -- Appendix A: Competitor and Adversary Interests in the U.S. Central Command Area of Responsibility -- Appendix B: Competitor and Adversary Approaches to Climate Change -- Appendix C: Climate Projections -- Appendix D: Summary of Workshop Scenarios.

Headings

  • -  United States.--Central Command
  • -  Security, International--Middle East--Environmental aspects
  • -  Security, International--Asia--Environmental aspects
  • -  Climatic changes--Middle East--Political aspects
  • -  Climatic changes--China--Political aspects
  • -  Climatic changes--Russia (Federation)--Political aspects
  • -  Climatic changes--Iran--Political aspects
  • -  China
  • -  Geopolitical Strategic Competition
  • -  Global Climate Change
  • -  Iran
  • -  Natural Hazards
  • -  Russia
  • -  United States
  • -  climate change
  • -  natural disasters
  • -  geopolitics
  • -  Climatic changes
  • -  Geopolitics
  • -  Natural disasters
  • -  Security, International--Environmental aspects
  • -  Strategic aspects of individual places

Notes

  • -  "RAND NATIONAL DEFENSE RESEARCH INSTITUTE"
  • -  Also available on the Internet as a PDF file.
  • -  Includes bibliographical references (pages 33-34)
  • -  Description based on print version record; resource not viewed.

Medium

  • 1 online resource (ix, 34 pages) : illustrations.

Call Number/Physical Location

  • UA23

Digital Id

Library of Congress Control Number

  • 2024739317

Rights Advisory

  • This is non-restricted, fully open content that may be accessed on and off of the Library of Congress campus, with no restrictions, by an unlimited number of users

Access Advisory

  • Unrestricted online access

Online Format

  • image
  • pdf

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Citations are generated automatically from bibliographic data as a convenience, and may not be complete or accurate.

Chicago citation style:

Shatz, Howard J., Author, Karen M Sudkamp, Jeffrey Martini, Mohammad Ahmadi, Derek Grossman, Kotryna Jukneviciute, Rand Corporation. National Security Research Division, Rand Corporation, and United States Central Command. Mischief, malevolence, or indifference? how competitors and adversaries could exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. [Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, National Defense Research Institute, 2023] Pdf. https://aj.sunback.homes/item/2024739317/.

APA citation style:

Shatz, H. J., Sudkamp, K. M., Martini, J., Ahmadi, M., Grossman, D., Jukneviciute, K. [...] United States Central Command. (2023) Mischief, malevolence, or indifference? how competitors and adversaries could exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. [Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, National Defense Research Institute] [Pdf] Retrieved from the Library of Congress, https://aj.sunback.homes/item/2024739317/.

MLA citation style:

Shatz, Howard J., Author, et al. Mischief, malevolence, or indifference? how competitors and adversaries could exploit climate-related conflict in the U.S. Central Command area of responsibility. [Santa Monica, Calif.: RAND, National Defense Research Institute, 2023] Pdf. Retrieved from the Library of Congress, <aj.sunback.homes/item/2024739317/>.